In our last edition of Bank Strategy Briefing, we summarized the 2017 bank M&A landscape in Wisconsin and certain other Midwestern states. In this edition, we give our thoughts on what 2018 might yield for community bank M&A. We believe that 2017 was a year of transition for community bank M&A. More specifically, in addition to the primary M&A deal drivers that have dominated since the Great Recession—e.g., regulatory burden, margin pressure, scale, technology pressures, succession issues, and shareholder liquidity—we have seen new deal drivers emerge that we believe will impact M&A activity in 2018. These evolving deal drivers include:
Ultimately, we believe community bank M&A activity will decline in 2018 nationally as compared to 2017. In our home state of Wisconsin, however, which had six announced whole bank deals in 2017, we predict an uptick in M&A activity in 2018.
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